Page 61 - Kuwait-Three-Years-Business-Outlook-2019-2020-2021
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KUWAIT MARKET HOTELS FORECAST








                                                  Scenario 3 -            High Risk & No Opportunity








                                         2018 a            2019 f            2020 f            2021 f            2022 f                     Assumptions



                         Rooms
                        Available                                                                                               Based on  demand that would keep the
                                         3,142,285        3,153,235         3,501,810         3,644,160        3,709,130        dropping trend of -5% respectively .The trend
                                                                                                                                would have negative impact on  ADR over the 3
                                                                                                                                years as well on Revenue and others. The
                      Rooms Sold                                                                                                forecast of Kuwait Hotels  over the 3 years
                                         1,652,403        1,563,173         1,478,762         1,398,909        1,323,368        would show all negative results.


                       Occupancy                                                                                                Variance 2019 to 2022:
                                            53%               50%              42%               38%               36%
                                                                                                                                •  Occupancy will decrease by – 14
                          ADR                                                                                                   •  ADR will decrease by -8 KD
                                             58                55               53                50                47
                                                                                                                                •  RevPAR will decrease by –KD 10.5
                        RevPAR
                                             31                27               22                19                17          •  Revenue will decrease by  KD 23 m

                                                                                                                                According to above figures the profit margin
                      Revenue in                                                                                                will decrease and it could become difficult to
                        MIllions                                                                                                manage profitability of the hotel.
                                            96,2             86,53             77,7              69,8              62,8
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